NAIFA-WI Blog

NAIFA-Wisconsin Schreiber GR Group Election Update

Written by NAIFA-Wisconsin | 11/11/24 9:26 PM

SGR Election Update 

Trump wins Wisconsin; Trump wins Presidency 

Several polls over the weekend showed a neck-and-neck race for the presidency in Wisconsin, and both candidates spent a lot of time campaigning in the state over the past few weeks. With 99% of the vote in, Trump has a 29,000-vote lead over Harris in Wisconsin. With a sweeping set of victories across the battleground states, including Wisconsin, Trump declared victory in the presidential election early Wednesday morning.

Tammy Baldwin Wins 3rd Term in US Senate 

Dem U.S. Sen. Tammy Baldwin declared victory early Wednesday morning. With 99% of the vote in, Baldwin has a 29,000-vote lead over GOP businessman Eric Hovde. Going into election night, Baldwin held a narrow lead, making it a close race that had been tightening over the past several weeks. Baldwin will now serve her third 6-year term in the U.S. Senate after being first elected in 2012.

Legislative Races

On the ballot this year for state legislative races were all 99 state Assembly districts and the even-numbered state Senate districts.

Assembly

Assembly Republicans went into election night with a strong majority, holding 64 seats compared to Assembly Democrats at 34 (with one vacancy). Assembly Republicans were expected to return with a majority, but the question was how strong of a majority. Tighter margins will lead to a new dynamic in the Assembly and potentially more opportunities for bipartisan compromise on larger policy issues, including the budget. 

Assembly Republicans maintained the majority and now stand at 54 seats.

Previous Assembly Makeup: 64 Republican, 34 Democrat 

New Assembly Makeup: 54 Republican, 45 Democrat 

Here are the results for the closely watched Assembly races this election cycle: 

Races that include incumbents (listed first)

  1. Assembly District 21: Rep. Jessie Rodriguez (R - Oak Creek) vs. David Marstellar (D)
    Winner: Jessie Rodriguez
    *Rep. Jessie Rodriguez is a member of the Joint Committee on Finance

  2. Assembly District 26: Rep. Amy Binsfeld (R)  vs. Joe Sheehan (D - Sheboygan Falls Town)
    Winner: Joe Sheehan 

  3. Assembly District 30: Rep. Shannon Zimmerman (R - River Falls) vs. Alison Page (D)
    Winner: Shannon Zimmerman
    *
    Rep. Shannon Zimmerman is a member of the Joint Committee on Finance 

  4. Assembly District 51: Rep. Todd Novak (R - Dodgeville) vs. Elizabeth Grabe (D)
    Winner: Todd Novak

  5. Assembly District 61: Rep. Bob Donovan (R - Greenville) vs. LuAnn Bird (D)

    Winner: Bob Donovan

  6. Assembly District 85: Rep. Pat Snyder (R - Schofield ) vs. Yee Leng Xiong (D) Winner: Pat Snyder

  7. Assembly District 91: Rep. Jodi Emerson (D - Eau Claire) vs. Michelle Skinner (R) Winner: Jodi Emerso

  8. Assembly District 92: Rep. Clint Moses (R - Menomonie) vs. Joe Plouff (D)
    Winner: Clint Moses 

  9. Assembly District 94: Rep. Steve Doyle (D - Onalaska) vs. Ryan Hubesch (R)
    Winner: Steve Doyle

Open Seats

  1. Assembly District 53: Dean Kaufert (R - Neenah) vs. Duane Shukoski (D)
    Winner: Dean Kaufert 

  2. Assembly District 88: Ben Franklin (R - De Pere) vs. Christy Welch (D)
    Winner: Ben Franklin 

  3. Assembly District 89: Patrick Buckley (R) vs. Ryan Spaude (D - Green Bay)
    Winner: Ryan Spaude

Senate

The new legislative maps were expected to reduce Senate Republicans' supermajority of 22-11. Of the Senate’s 33 seats, 16 were up for election. Three of those seats were highly competitive, two were classified as “lean” or “likely” Democrat, and the remaining 11 were not considered competitive. While Democrats were not expected to take control of the Senate this cycle, their key goal was to narrow the gap significantly, setting the stage for a more competitive race in 2026. Senate Republicans reduced their majority by 4 seats, with the final makeup on election night being 18 Republicans, 15 Democrats. 

Previous Senate Makeup: 22 Republican, 11 Democrat 

New Senate Makeup: 18 Republican, 15 Democrat 

Here are the results for the closely watched Senate races this election cycle: 

  1. Senate District 8: Sen. Duey Stroebel (R) vs. Jodi Habush Sinykin (D - Whitefish Bay)
    Winner: Jodi Habush Sinykin
    *Sen. Strobel is a member of the Joint Committee on Finance

  2. Senate District 14: Sen. Joan Ballweg (R) vs. Sarah Keyeski (D - Lodi)
    Winner: Sarah Keyeski
    *Sen Ballweg is a member of the Joint Committee on Finance

  3. Senate District 18: Anthony Phillips (R) vs. Kristin Alfheim (D - Appleton)
    Winner: Kristin Alfheim 

  4. Senate District 30: Jim Rafter (R) vs. Jamie Wall (D - Green Bay)
    Winner: Jamie Wall

  5. Senate District 32: Sen. Brad Pfaff (D - Onalaska) vs. Stacey Klein (R)
    Winner: Brad Pfaff